What We Can Expect – The Oakland Post
Much to the chagrin of our class of experts, the pre-election anxiety and turmoil didn’t just vanish into thin air with Joe Biden’s victory. This COVID-19 crisis is real. Cases are skyrocketing, people are suffering and so far our institutions have failed miserably to protect our lives.
Our political landscape is now as unstable as it has ever been. President-elect Biden is entering a unique crisis in a century. With its political record of trample the excluded and sell the working class, the American people are rightly skeptical and insecure.
Many Americans are now wondering if we dodged a bullet to the head just so we could gently slice our wrists in the tub.
Even if Biden suddenly wanted to become Franklin D. Roosevelt’s second coming, he would be strongly opposed by a Republican party that seems to outsmart and beef up Democrats at all times.
The next four years will be among the most important in the history of the country. Biden’s tenure will be a defining legacy.
It is impossible to predict where we will be by the end of his term. However, there are now many indicators of how the political landscape will evolve.
Here are some key things to plan for the 2024 presidential election.
Biden will be a one-termer
President Biden will not stand for re-election in 2024. The oldest elected president in history will be 78 when he is sworn in and he will not be in office for more than four years. Due to health, office fatigue, and how Biden views his current role in the Democratic Party.
Biden sees himself as a point of transition for the new generation democrats to emerge. He seems more than willing to pass the baton on to centrists like Beto O’Rourke, Pete Buttigieg and of course his running mate, Kamala Harris.
Generally speaking, age and health are of great concern to voters. Democrats understand the risk of leading an octogenarian. Expect Biden to step down after a tenure.
Donald Trump strikes back
The Donald handles the loss as well as his supporter Mike Tyson handles the loss when he tore off Evander Holyfield’s ear. His carelessness and classlessness in the days following the official election results were as bad or worse than any antics he took part in during his presidency.
Trump loves the limelight and he hates losing. His followers have a cult like devotion to him, and he knows it. Expect a member of the Trump family to apply for the 2024 Republican nomination. If it isn’t Trump himself, it will likely be his son Donald Jr. or even his beloved daughter. Ivanka. Either way, it’s safe to say that Trump is far from done with US politics.
New divide in the Democratic Party
Democrats underperformed in this election. There is no other way to make it spin. Despite a horrific incumbent president and a criminally negligent Republican Senate against whom to run – Democrats still have lost seats in the house, failed to win back the Senate and their chosen candidate Biden underperformed with key segments of their base in the presidential race.
In the aftermath of the election, there are many points of the finger as the party tries to justify these results to its voters and donors. The centrists and their Republican allies have crowded onto the progressive wing Of the party. Progressives like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez fired back, pointing out that every candidate who has adopted progressive policies like universal health care has been re-elected.
Amid all the postures and bickering, it’s clear there will be an ongoing power struggle between Democrats. The battle between grassroots candidates with close ties to their communities like Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar and party-made liberal social media superstars like Buttigieg rages on.
The outcome of the struggle will shape the country in the future. Expect more intense battles between the will of the party’s old guard and progressive faces over the next four years.
Progressives play the presidency
In 2020, democratic socialist Bernie Sanders fell a hair’s breadth away from the candidacy and possibly the presidency. It took a seemingly unprecedented time power play of Democratic Party insiders and former President Barack Obama to disrupt democracy and stifle Sanders’ rise to the highest office in the country.
These facts are well known to the progressive base of Sanders. The man has sparked a movement that is unlikely to dissipate as previous grassroots efforts have, as leftist political positions like universal health care, free college, debt relief student and the Green New Deal are gaining momentum nationwide.
Progressives are no longer content with token victories, they increasingly represent the will of the American people and will fight for a real seat at the table over the next four years. Expect a serious progressive challenge for the Democratic nomination during the 2024 election cycle.
Michelle Obama is running for a job
Former first lady and winner of multiple “Most Admired Woman” awards Michelle Obama will return to politics over the next four years. Whether it’s a presidential bid or a Senate bid, expect it to make big waves in the political landscape.
I mean, what could be a better face for neoliberalism than a face with the right eyes and Obama’s bright smile? She has a large following among female voters and could very well be Democrats’ last chance to stop a gradual overhaul of the party.
Expect Obama to leave the world of company concerts and guided tours of the arena to run for office by 2024. There are simply too many risks for the Democratic Party establishment to keep Obama on the sidelines.